FINANCIaL
FIELd NOTES
Is the Stock Market Really Efficient?
For those in the financial advising field, one of the more controversial concepts is the “Efficient Market Hypothesis” developed by Eugene Fama in the 1970’s. The idea is that stock prices reflect all available information, so there is no way to consistently “beat the market” when adjusting for risk.
That doesn’t mean you can’t outperform other investors with good behavior by taking more risk when others are fearful and less risk when others are greedy. But it does mean that you are unlikely to outperform the broader market by trying to time the market or pick individual stocks...
Roth IRAs for Your Child or Grandchild
More clients have been reaching out in the past few years to discuss opening a Roth IRA for their minor children or grandchildren. You might imagine that I love this idea. It’s a great way to teach multiple financial lessons all at once –
(1) saving a portion of your income
(2) the magic of compounding returns over a long time and
(3) the power of tax-free income.
One of the big reasons I love getting started a little early is just how big of an impact an extra decade or two of compounding can make...
The Stock Market and Politics Since 1950
With the 2024 election approaching in November, many significant policy decisions are at stake, from the federal deficit to healthcare, immigration, and more. When I talk with clients during an election year, it’s normal to hear concerns about how the result may impact their portfolio. However, the mood of the conversation tends to be quite biased toward their expectations for the election.
In 2016, when Donald Trump was elected, I had many Democratic clients concerned about how the economy would implode. In 2020, I heard the same concerns from Republican clients when Joe Biden was elected...
What I'm Teaching My 7-Year-Old About Money
Zeke, my oldest child, just turned 7! This past year, I’ve seen him come into his own. He knows what he likes and doesn’t like, and I’m learning to love it all!
He loves basketball, baseball, legos, and any bug (the more potentially poisonous, the better). One of the things we have been teaching him is how to budget his money for the things that are most important to him...
Are Fed Rate Cuts Good for Stocks?
During the July Fed meeting, the chair of the Fed, Jerome Powell, said, “If the labor market were to weaken unexpectedly…we are prepared to respond.”
Following that meeting, we had a jump in unemployment that sent the market into an abrupt selloff amid a relatively calm year for markets. The “weakening labor market” that Powell mentioned may very well be here…
Bonds Are Finally Doing Their Job
2022 was one of the most difficult years for diversified portfolios because both stocks and bonds sold off significantly.
For investors, this was very concerning since it reduced the benefits of being diversified in the first place. However, it’s important to note that bonds often protect in a down market. In fact, in all but three years when stocks (S&P 500) were down, bonds (5-year treasuries) were up. 2022 was one of those three years—and the worst one at that…