FINANCIaL

FIELd NOTES

Personal Finance, Investment Strategy Alex Voorhees Personal Finance, Investment Strategy Alex Voorhees

Why I’m Cashing Out My I-Bonds

In January 2022 and January 2023, I purchased I-bonds to replace part of our family’s cash savings. In 2022, when I-bond rates were over 7%, I wrote about how if you had cash that you could afford to tie up for a year, I-bonds were a good option. Rates then peaked in the middle of 2022 at nearly 10% before starting to come back down. Last year around this time, I wrote about how I still thought I-bonds offered a reasonable rate over alternatives.

In 2023, inflation came down and I-bond rates linked to inflation continued to decline. However, late last year and early in 2024, inflation stopped its downward trend and I-bond rates stayed elevated – over 5%. For this reason, I opted not to cash out my I-bonds. However, the Treasury just announced the new I-bond rate of 4.28%…

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Insurance Alex Voorhees Insurance Alex Voorhees

Six Options for Long-Term Care Planning

Roughly 70% of adults aged 65 or older will need at least some long-term care, and the average length of stay is 3.2 years.

Because of this everyone needs a long-term care plan. However, long-term care insurance is just one way to pay for care. There are 6 common ways to fund this expense…

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Retirement Planning, Investment Strategy Alex Voorhees Retirement Planning, Investment Strategy Alex Voorhees

How to Save Your Retirement Investments in a Recession

Last week I discussed how the 4% rule is a good starting place for retirees. But to get the most out of your retirement, it’s important to go beyond this. The answer for many is to use Dynamic Withdrawal Rules where spending is slightly adjusted based on the market environment.

By being flexible, you can on average spend significantly more throughout your retirement. When your withdrawal rate gets too high because of increased spending or lower returns, you cut spending modestly. When your withdrawal rate gets too low because of lower spending or higher returns, you can increase spending.

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Historical Results of a 4% Withdrawal Rate (1928-2023)

One often-quoted rule of thumb in retirement planning is the 4% withdrawal rate. It suggests that retirees can withdraw 4% of their initial investment portfolio balance annually, adjusted for inflation, without significantly depleting their savings over a 30-year retirement period. But how does this rule hold up under the scrutiny of historical data, particularly for a balanced investment portfolio?

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Investment Strategy Alex Voorhees Investment Strategy Alex Voorhees

The Compounding Cost of Avoiding Volatility

With interest rates rising for cash, CDs, and bonds, there is renewed interest in owning more conservative investments instead of riskier assets like stocks. Since the best estimate of future bond returns is roughly their starting yield, 5% is probably a fair place to start (while nothing is certainly guaranteed). Stocks on the other hand have earned 10% per year on average.

For some investors, it may make sense to take less risk and “clip” the bond coupon, especially for the money they plan to spend in the coming years. But many investors, including retirees, often have a portion of their investments that are for long-term growth over 10-20+ years that have historically been in stocks…

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